Global Nut Trade Update: Latest Market Insights in November 2025

In 2025, the nut import and export sector is embracing fresh opportunities and evolving policies. Companies who seize international prospects will help strengthen the influence of China’s nut industry. Stay tuned to our social channels for further updates on global nut trade trends.

1. Myanmar Macadamia Nuts Make Their Debut in China

In the past days, 20 tons of macadamia nuts from Myanmar successfully cleared customs at the Wanding border port in Yunnan, marking the first large-scale import since China authorized quarantine access in September 2025. This milestone enhances the flexibility of Chinese nut companies in sourcing international products and reflects improvements in trade facilitation measures. Wanding Customs has stepped up efforts to guide enterprises, ensuring smooth customs declaration processes. In the first three quarters of 2025, food imports at Wanding port surged by over 193%, demonstrating robust growth.

2. Global Production Surges, China and South Africa Lead, EU Import Dynamics Shift

According to the International Nut & Dried Fruit Council (INC), global macadamia nut production in 2025 is expected to reach 343,300 tons, up 5.8% year-over-year. South Africa and China are the world’s top two producers, with China’s output estimated at 74,500 tons—a notable 7.2% increase. While China’s strong demand continues to push up global prices, Kenya’s exports have declined due to export restrictions. In the EU, nut import volumes have dropped 19% this year, but average prices increased. Germany’s import volume halved, while the Netherlands and Belgium saw growth against the trend.

3. U.S. Nut Exports Face Policy Changes, Exemptions Extended but Growth Stalls

Throughout 2025, tariffs on U.S. nuts—such as almonds, walnuts, pistachios, and macadamias—have fluctuated dramatically due to China-U.S. trade policies. Recently, China extended tariff exemptions until the end of October, with approved applications valid until December 13. Suspension of the Section 301 exemption has restricted U.S. exports to China; meanwhile, European markets have become the main export destinations for American nuts. This year U.S. walnut exports to Europe fell 14.7%, while Chinese walnuts exported to the EU jumped 2.7 times, now capturing 20.7% of market share.

4. New Nut Trade Developments Worldwide

Over half of South African macadamia nut exports are now aimed at China, with reduced tariffs speeding up market penetration. Direct purchasing by Chinese importers from South Africa is becoming increasingly common, and both sides are prioritizing transparency and trust.

Rwanda is set to sign a new agreement with China to export avocados, expanding opportunities for fresh nuts and fruit products in China’s diverse consumer market.

Market Insights & Trends

As Myanmar, South Africa, Australia, and other countries continue to introduce nuts to China, the global nut trade landscape is undergoing profound changes, with huge opportunities emerging in the Chinese market.

International tariff policies are evolving rapidly—companies should pay close attention to policy updates, diversify strategies, and optimize supply chains.

European nut trade shows rising price volatility and structural shifts; exporters should closely monitor market trends and demand signals.

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